Sunday, August 31, 2008
Thursday, August 28, 2008
It looks like this summer will be a repeat, or at least close. Here's the data:
By this point last summer there was slightly less sea ice in the northern hemisphere than this year, then it leveled out. If September is unusually warm (or sunny), this year could still break the record. In any event, the older, thicker sea ice is rapidly disappearing, being replaced by thinner new ice.
The melting sea ice has negligible impact on ocean sea levels, but could be a harbinger of things to come if melting of the Greenland ice sheet also accelerates.
By the way, last summer the Global Warming Deniers could at least point to Antarctica to offset alarm over the melting north pole, as the extent of southern hemisphere sea ice reached a record high (it's winter down there, so the ice is going in the opposite direction). But that's not the case this summer. Instead, southern sea ice is significantly below last year's pace, and for the first time in the past 12 months is below the average (technically, mean) level of the past 20 years.
We're sure the GWD's, aided by a few Exxon dollars, will come up with something, however.
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Granted, we can only watch a small slice at a time. Last night, we were watching NBC. While they carried Hillary's speech without interruption, the rest of the time it was all about NBC, not the convention.
Get this: we have three men--Brian Williams, Tom Brokaw and political analyst Chuck Todd--yacking on and on about Hillary and the glass ceiling, and how long it's been since Geraldine Ferraro and how much longer it will be. We bet all the women correspondents at NBC were thinking the same thing about THEIR employer.
[Note: they could have had the same conversation four years ago about a black man being a major party's nominee and no one would've mentioned Barack Obama. A woman will get the nomination some day--relatively soon--and it will be someone who comes out of nowhere, with a brilliant campaign, just as Obama did. Somehow these brilliant political analysts missed that point.]
The we have the endless yabbering about disaffected Hillary supporters and the divisions in the Democratic Party.
Remember when half the GOP was saying there was no way they'd support John McCain? Pathological liars like Ann Coulter and Rush Limbaugh were saying they'd campaign for the Democratic nominee if McCain won. Where's the press on that story?
Worst of all, however, is that it's just a bunch of talking media heads and talking to, and interviewing, each other. Tonight we'll try some of the cable coverage, but we don't expect it to be much better.
Possibly. We were going to pull it all together after looking at the National Hurricane Center's five-day forecast track for Gustav, but then we came across this post from the Capital Weather Gang over at the Washington Post, which says all we need say at this point.
Our one caution is that the NHC's five day forecast is more likely to be wrong than right, especially five days out, so the likelihood of Gustav finishing off New Orleans is still pretty small.
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
Having said that, I know the Clintons and know that they are superb role-players (and I don’t mean that in a negative way at all). Their job this week in their speeches will be to rally their supporters and enthusiastically support Obama – and I believe they will play those roles superbly, and predict that by Friday all the “ Clinton vs Obama” noise will have dwindled to nothing."
(And yes, they still call it Peking University, not Beijing U.--don't ask us why!)
Monday, August 25, 2008
Saturday, August 23, 2008
Friday, August 22, 2008
Thursday, August 21, 2008
(In contrast, Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter haven't yet followed through on their promises to campaign for McCain's opponent. Of course, that's no surprise because both of them are pathological liars.)
There's no question that some of Hillary's supporters remain quite bitter. Anecdotally, the problem appears greatest with middle-aged and older white women in the Democratic Party.
We still think most of them will come around, and the upcoming Democratic convention is an opportunity to reach out to many of them.
But honestly, are these disaffected Hillary supporters going to do for the country what Ralph Nader's Florida supporters did in 2000, and give us another disastrous Republican administration? Talk about cutting off one's nose to spite her face!
Someday--and not that far off--we will have a woman President. Let's just hope we've still got a country worth governing. Electing an old Republican who will continue the vast majority of W. Bush's misguided policies is not a good way to work off the disappointment over Hillary's campaign.
Monday, August 18, 2008
He is currently the Chairman of the Atlantic Council of the United States.
Sunday, August 17, 2008
When the Olympics finish at the end of this week, we'll start blogging frequently on the political scene.
For now, we pass along--for what they're worth, which isn't much--the most recent presidential election preference polls for Virginia (three of them, taken between Aug. 8-12), which continue to show a dead heat between Obama and McCain:
1. Rasmussen has McCain up by 1, 48%-47% (but if you take out "leaners" Obama leads by 1, 46%-45%);
2. Insider Advantage has the to candidates tied, with 43% apiece;
3. Survey USA has McCain up by 1, 48%-47%.
What's nice is the remarkable consistency between these three polls. We'll use this as our baseline for future polling. The next round of polls from these three reputable pollsters should be quite interesting as the campaign for the Old Dominion heats up.
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Monday, August 11, 2008
Wednesday, August 06, 2008
Monday, August 04, 2008
Gas prices are high, dang it, and fat Americans want to ride in air-conditioned comfort in big ol' SUV's. If you don't get that, then you're not going to be the next President.
Additional drilling will take some of the edge off high oil prices, but it won't change the fundamental dynamic: as more people around the world achieve western living standards, the competion for oil will go up, along with the price.
This is a good thing, because much higher oil/energy prices is about the only thing that can save the planet from humankind.